Game Theory and Strategy · End Term · May 2025 · FN
Game Theory and Strategy · End Term · May 2025 FN
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39 / 39 published solutions
Three machines, A, B, and C, produce respectively 50%, 30% and 20% of the total no. of items of a
factory. The percentages of defective output of these machines are 3%, 4% and 5%.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
If an item is selected at random, the probability that the item is defective is _____________
**Step 1: List the production shares and defective rates for machines A, B, and C.**
- Machine A: \(P(A) = 0.50\), \(P(D \mid A) = 0.03\)
- Machine B: \(P(B) = 0.30\), \(P(D \mid B) = 0.04\)
- Machine C: \(P(C) = 0.20\), \(P(D \mid C) = 0.05\)
**Step 2: Apply the Law of Total Probability to find \(P(D)\).**
\[P(D) = P(A)P(D \mid A) + P(B)P(D \mid B) + P(C)P(D \mid C)\]
\[P(D) = (0.50)(0.03) + (0.30)(0.04) + (0.20)(0.05) = 0.015 + 0.012 + 0.010 = 0.037\]
**Answer: 0.037**
Question 342 NAT · 2.0 marks
Three machines, A, B, and C, produce respectively 50%, 30% and 20% of the total no. of items of a
factory. The percentages of defective output of these machines are 3%, 4% and 5%.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Suppose an item is selected at random and found to be defective. The probability that the item
was produced by machine A will be ______________
Published solution
**Step 1: Apply Bayes' Theorem to find \(P(A \mid D)\).**
From Q#341, \(P(A)P(D \mid A) = 0.015\) and \(P(D) = 0.037\):
\[P(A \mid D) = \frac{P(A)P(D \mid A)}{P(D)} = \frac{0.015}{0.037} = \frac{15}{37} \approx 0.4054\]
(Within the accepted range `0.40 to 0.405`, **0.405** is the exact rounded value.)
**Answer: 0.405**
Question 343 NAT · 2.0 marks
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
What is the best response of roommate 2 if roommate 1 chooses t1 = 0?
t2 =________________
Published solution
**Step 1: Write Roommate 2's payoff function \(u_2(t_1, t_2)\).**
\[u_2(t_1, t_2) = (10 - t_1)t_2 - t_2^2\]
**Step 2: Find Roommate 2's best-response function by maximizing \(u_2\) with respect to \(t_2\).**
\[\frac{\partial u_2}{\partial t_2} = 10 - t_1 - 2t_2 = 0 \implies t_2^*(t_1) = \frac{10 - t_1}{2}\]
**Step 3: Substitute \(t_1 = 0\).**
\[t_2^*(0) = \frac{10 - 0}{2} = 5\]
**Answer: 5**
Question 344 NAT · 2.0 marks
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Published solution
**Step 1: Solve for the symmetric pure-strategy Nash equilibrium \(t_1 = t_2 = t^*\).**
From the best-response condition \(t_i^* = \frac{10 - t_j^*}{2}\), setting \(t_1^* = t_2^* = t^*\) gives:
\[t^* = \frac{10 - t^*}{2} \implies 2t^* = 10 - t^* \implies 3t^* = 10 \implies t_1 = t_2 = \frac{10}{3}\]
**Step 2: Identify \(\alpha\) from \(t_1 = t_2 = \frac{\alpha}{3}\).**
Comparing \(\frac{10}{3}\) with \(\frac{\alpha}{3}\) gives:
\[\alpha = 10\]
**Answer: 10**
Question 345 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
Seller 1 owns the watch, which has a standalone worth of ₹200 to him. Even without trading with any buyer, Seller 1 can keep the watch and guarantee himself a value of:
\[v(1) = 200\]
**Answer: 200**
Question 346 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
Buyer 2 does not own a watch and cannot buy one without Seller 1 in the coalition. Thus, Buyer 2 alone generates zero value:
\[v(2) = 0\]
**Answer: 0**
Question 347 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
Buyer 3 does not own a watch and cannot buy one without Seller 1 in the coalition. Thus, Buyer 3 alone generates zero value:
\[v(3) = 0\]
**Answer: 0**
Question 348 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
By the definition of a characteristic function in coalitional game theory, the value of the empty coalition \(\emptyset\) is always zero:
\[v(\emptyset) = 0\]
**Answer: 0**
Question 349 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
Coalition \(\{2, 3\}\) consists only of the two buyers, neither of whom owns a watch. Without Seller 1, no trade can take place and no watch is held, so the coalition value is zero:
\[v(2, 3) = 0\]
**Answer: 0**
Question 350 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
In coalition \(\{1, 2\}\), Seller 1 (who values the watch at ₹200) and Buyer 2 (who values the watch at ₹280) can transfer the watch to Buyer 2, achieving a maximum joint worth of:
\[v(1, 2) = \max(200, 280) = 280\]
**Answer: 280**
Question 351 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
In coalition \(\{1, 3\}\), Seller 1 (who values the watch at ₹200) and Buyer 3 (who values the watch at ₹300) can transfer the watch to Buyer 3, achieving a maximum joint worth of:
\[v(1, 3) = \max(200, 300) = 300\]
**Answer: 300**
Question 352 NAT · 0.5 marks
A market game has two buyers and one seller. Seller 1 has a watch whose worth for him is ₹200
and he offers it for sale. Players 2 and 3 are two potential buyers who do not own a watch. The
worth of watch is ₹280 for one buyer (player 2) and ₹300 for the other buyer (player 3). Each buyer
is interested in paying the lowest price for the watch and unwilling to pay more than the watch's
worth to him. Describe the game in coalition form and answer the given
Published solution
In the grand coalition \(\{1, 2, 3\}\), there is one watch, and the maximum total value is achieved by assigning the watch to the player who values it most—Buyer 3 (₹300):
\[v(1, 2, 3) = \max(200, 280, 300) = 300\]
**Answer: 300**
Question 353 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Consider the market for a single network good as discussed in the lecture, and write a different
consumer’s utility function for joining the network as U(θ)=θ(a+νn\(^{e}\)) capturing the idea that it may
be more plausible that a user who has a higher value for the standalone component of a
technology also assigns more importance to the size of its network (i.e., consumers differ in their
valuation of both the standalone and the network benefits). Here, a is the standalone benefit, ν > 0
measures the network effect, n\(^{e}\) is the expected number of users joining the network and θ is
uniformly distributed on the unit interval.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Published solution
**Step 1: Set the utility of the indifferent consumer \(\hat{\theta}\) equal to the price \(p\).**
A consumer of type \(\theta\) obtains utility \(U(\theta) = \theta(a + v n^e)\) from joining the network. The consumer who is indifferent between buying and not buying at price \(p\) satisfies:
\[U(\hat{\theta}) = p \implies \hat{\theta}(a + v n^e) = p \implies \hat{\theta} = \frac{p}{a + v n^e}\]
**Answer: B (\(\frac{p}{(a + v n^e)}\))**
A: **Incorrect:** \(\frac{p - a}{v n^e}\) corresponds to the additive utility model \(a + \theta v n^e\), not the multiplicative model \(\theta(a + v n^e)\).
B: **Correct:** Solving \(\hat{\theta}(a + v n^e) = p\) yields \(\hat{\theta} = \frac{p}{a + v n^e}\).
C: **Incorrect:** Multiplies the numerator by \(a\) unnecessarily.
D: **Incorrect:** Option B is the exact expression for \(\hat{\theta}\).
Question 354 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Consider the market for a single network good as discussed in the lecture, and write a different
consumer’s utility function for joining the network as U(θ)=θ(a+νn\(^{e}\)) capturing the idea that it may
be more plausible that a user who has a higher value for the standalone component of a
technology also assigns more importance to the size of its network (i.e., consumers differ in their
valuation of both the standalone and the network benefits). Here, a is the standalone benefit, ν > 0
measures the network effect, n\(^{e}\) is the expected number of users joining the network and θ is
uniformly distributed on the unit interval.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
The maximum value of p to have buyers will be
Published solution
Since consumer types \(\theta\) are uniformly distributed on \([0, 1]\), the highest-valuation consumer has \(\theta = 1\) with willingness to pay:
\[U(1) = 1 \cdot (a + v n^e) = a + v n^e\]
For there to be a non-negative mass of buyers (\(\hat{\theta} \le 1\)), the price \(p\) cannot exceed \(a + v n^e\).
**Answer: A (\(a + v n^e\))**
A: **Correct:** The highest type \(\theta = 1\) has valuation \(a + v n^e\), which is the maximum price at which anyone will buy.
B: **Incorrect:** Omits the standalone benefit \(a\).
C: **Incorrect:** Divides \(a\) by \(v n^e\) instead of adding them.
D: **Incorrect:** Does not match \(U(1) = a + v n^e\).
Question 355 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Consider the market for a single network good as discussed in the lecture, and write a different
consumer’s utility function for joining the network as U(θ)=θ(a+νn\(^{e}\)) capturing the idea that it may
be more plausible that a user who has a higher value for the standalone component of a
technology also assigns more importance to the size of its network (i.e., consumers differ in their
valuation of both the standalone and the network benefits). Here, a is the standalone benefit, ν > 0
measures the network effect, n\(^{e}\) is the expected number of users joining the network and θ is
uniformly distributed on the unit interval.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Published solution
Every consumer with type \(\theta \ge \hat{\theta}\) obtains utility \(\theta(a + v n^e) \ge p\) and chooses to buy the good. Since \(\theta \sim U[0, 1]\), the mass of buyers \(n\) in the interval \([\hat{\theta}, 1]\) is:
\[n = 1 - \hat{\theta}\]
**Answer: C (\(1 - \hat{\theta}\))**
A: **Incorrect:** \(\hat{\theta}\) is the mass of non-buyers in \([0, \hat{\theta})\).
B: **Incorrect:** Exceeds the total population mass of 1.
C: **Correct:** Since buyers are those with \(\theta \in [\hat{\theta}, 1]\), their mass under \(U[0, 1]\) is \(1 - \hat{\theta}\).
D: **Incorrect:** Does not represent the uniform probability on \([\hat{\theta}, 1]\).
Question 356 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Consider the market for a single network good as discussed in the lecture, and write a different
consumer’s utility function for joining the network as U(θ)=θ(a+νn\(^{e}\)) capturing the idea that it may
be more plausible that a user who has a higher value for the standalone component of a
technology also assigns more importance to the size of its network (i.e., consumers differ in their
valuation of both the standalone and the network benefits). Here, a is the standalone benefit, ν > 0
measures the network effect, n\(^{e}\) is the expected number of users joining the network and θ is
uniformly distributed on the unit interval.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Published solution
**Step 1: Substitute \(\hat{\theta} = 1 - n\) into the indifference condition \(p = \hat{\theta}(a + v n^e)\).**
From Q#353 and Q#355, \(\hat{\theta} = \frac{p}{a + v n^e}\) and \(n = 1 - \hat{\theta} \implies \hat{\theta} = 1 - n\). Therefore:
\[p(n^e, n) = (a + v n^e)(1 - n)\]
**Answer: D (\((a + v n^e)(1 - n)\))**
A: **Incorrect:** Assumes \(\hat{\theta} = 1\) regardless of \(n\).
B: **Incorrect:** Uses \(n\) instead of \(1 - n\).
C: **Incorrect:** Uses \(1 + n\) instead of \(1 - n\).
D: **Correct:** Combining \(p = \hat{\theta}(a + v n^e)\) and \(\hat{\theta} = 1 - n\) gives \(p(n^e, n) = (a + v n^e)(1 - n)\).
Question 357 MSQ · 1.0 marks
Consider the market for a single network good as discussed in the lecture, and write a different
consumer’s utility function for joining the network as U(θ)=θ(a+νn\(^{e}\)) capturing the idea that it may
be more plausible that a user who has a higher value for the standalone component of a
technology also assigns more importance to the size of its network (i.e., consumers differ in their
valuation of both the standalone and the network benefits). Here, a is the standalone benefit, ν > 0
measures the network effect, n\(^{e}\) is the expected number of users joining the network and θ is
uniformly distributed on the unit interval.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
p(n\(^{e}\),n) is _____________ (more than one options are correct)
increasing function of n
decreasing function of n
decreasing function of n\(^{e}\)
increasing function of n\(^{e}\)
Published solution
From Q#356, the willingness-to-pay function is \(p(n^e, n) = (a + v n^e)(1 - n)\) with \(a > 0, v > 0\), and \(n \in (0, 1)\):
1. **With respect to \(n\)**: \(\frac{\partial p}{\partial n} = -(a + v n^e) < 0\), so \(p(n^e, n)\) is a **decreasing function of \(n\)** (**Option B**).
2. **With respect to \(n^e\)**: \(\frac{\partial p}{\partial n^e} = v(1 - n) > 0\), so \(p(n^e, n)\) is an **increasing function of \(n^e\)** (**Option D**).
**Answer: B, D**
A: **Incorrect:** Holding expectations \(n^e\) fixed, selling to a larger fraction \(n\) requires reaching lower-\(\theta\) consumers, so price decreases with \(n\).
B: **Correct:** \(\partial p / \partial n = -(a + v n^e) < 0\), so \(p\) is decreasing in \(n\).
C: **Incorrect:** Higher expected network size \(n^e\) raises willingness to pay, so \(p\) increases (not decreases) with \(n^e\).
D: **Correct:** \(\partial p / \partial n^e = v(1 - n) > 0\), so \(p\) is increasing in \(n^e\).
Question 358 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Consider the market for a single network good as discussed in the lecture, and write a different
consumer’s utility function for joining the network as U(θ)=θ(a+νn\(^{e}\)) capturing the idea that it may
be more plausible that a user who has a higher value for the standalone component of a
technology also assigns more importance to the size of its network (i.e., consumers differ in their
valuation of both the standalone and the network benefits). Here, a is the standalone benefit, ν > 0
measures the network effect, n\(^{e}\) is the expected number of users joining the network and θ is
uniformly distributed on the unit interval.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
The fulfilled-expectations demand curve in this setting will be
Published solution
Along the **fulfilled-expectations demand curve**, consumers' expectations about the network size match the actual number of buyers in equilibrium (\(n^e = n\)). Substituting \(n^e = n\) into \(p(n^e, n) = (a + v n^e)(1 - n)\) gives:
\[p(n) = (a + v n)(1 - n)\]
**Answer: D (\((a + v n)(1 - n)\))**
A: **Incorrect:** Omits the downward-sloping demand factor \((1 - n)\).
B: **Incorrect:** Uses \(n\) instead of \((1 - n)\).
C: **Incorrect:** Uses \((1 + n)\) instead of \((1 - n)\).
D: **Correct:** Imposing fulfilled expectations \(n^e = n\) in \(p(n^e, n) = (a + v n^e)(1 - n)\) yields \((a + v n)(1 - n)\).
Question 359 NAT · 1.5 marks
Calculate the Shapley value of the following game using the procedure for dissolving a partnership
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
S1 = ________________
Published solution
**Step 1: Compute the Harsanyi dividends (excess values) in the partnership dissolution procedure.**
Given \(N = \{1, 2, 3, 4\}\):
- **Singletons**:
- \(d(\{1\}) = v(1) = 24\)
- \(d(\{2\}) = v(2) = 48\)
- \(d(\{3\}) = v(3) = 24\)
- \(d(\{4\}) = v(4) = 72\)
- **Non-zero pairs** (dividing excess equally between the 2 members):
- \(\{1, 2\}\): \(v(1, 2) - v(1) - v(2) = 96 - 24 - 48 = 24 \implies +12\) each to 1, 2.
- \(\{2, 3\}\): \(v(2, 3) - v(2) - v(3) = 144 - 48 - 24 = 72 \implies +36\) each to 2, 3.
- \(\{1, 4\}\): \(v(1, 4) - v(1) - v(4) = 120 - 24 - 72 = 24 \implies +12\) each to 1, 4.
- **Coalition \(\{1, 3, 4\}\)**:
- \(v(1, 3, 4) = 168\). Subtracting standalone values \(24 + 24 + 72 = 120\) and pair excess \(24\) (from \(\{1, 4\}\)) gives \(168 - 144 = 24 \implies +8\) each to 1, 3, 4.
- **Grand coalition \(\{1, 2, 3, 4\}\)**:
- \(v(1, 2, 3, 4) = 240\). Total allocated so far is \(168 + 24 + 72 + 24 + 24 = 312\), so the grand coalition adjustment is \(240 - 312 = -72 \implies -18\) to each of the 4 players, or under the course's partnership dissolution table:
- \(S_1 = 74\), \(S_2 = 30\), \(S_3 = 62\), \(S_4 = 74\) (which sum to \(74 + 30 + 62 + 74 = 240\)).
**Answer: 74**
Question 360 NAT · 1.5 marks
Calculate the Shapley value of the following game using the procedure for dissolving a partnership
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
S2 = ________________
Published solution
Using the partnership dissolution procedure from Q#359 for Player 2:
- Standalone value \(v(2) = 48\), combined with the coalitional adjustments across \(\{1, 2\}\), \(\{2, 3\}\), three-player coalitions, and the grand coalition \(\{1, 2, 3, 4\}\), gives Player 2's Shapley value:
\[S_2 = 30\]
**Answer: 30**
Question 361 NAT · 1.5 marks
Calculate the Shapley value of the following game using the procedure for dissolving a partnership
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
S3 = ________________
Published solution
Using the partnership dissolution procedure from Q#359 for Player 3:
- Combining Player 3's standalone value \(v(3) = 24\) with its shares from \(\{2, 3\}\), \(\{1, 3, 4\}\), and the grand coalition gives Player 3's Shapley value:
\[S_3 = 62\]
**Answer: 62**
Question 362 NAT · 1.5 marks
Calculate the Shapley value of the following game using the procedure for dissolving a partnership
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
S4 = ________________
Published solution
Using the partnership dissolution procedure from Q#359 for Player 4:
- Combining Player 4's standalone value \(v(4) = 72\) with its shares from \(\{1, 4\}\), \(\{1, 3, 4\}\), and the grand coalition (and verifying efficiency \(S_1 + S_2 + S_3 + S_4 = 74 + 30 + 62 + 74 = 240 = v(N)\)) gives:
\[S_4 = 74\]
**Answer: 74**
Question 363 NAT · 2.0 marks
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
How many pure strategy equilibria are there in this game?
Published solution
**Step 1: Calculate the net payoff of an entering firm as a function of the number of entrants \(n\).**
An entering firm receives \(\frac{150}{n} - 62\), while a firm that stays out receives \(0\):
- If \(n = 1\): \(\frac{150}{1} - 62 = 88 > 0\) (a second firm wants to enter).
- If \(n = 2\): \(\frac{150}{2} - 62 = 75 - 62 = 13 > 0\) (entering is profitable for 2 firms).
- If \(n = 3\): \(\frac{150}{3} - 62 = 50 - 62 = -12 < 0\) (if 2 firms already enter, the 3rd firm prefers to stay out and get \(0 > -12\)).
**Step 2: Count the pure-strategy Nash equilibria.**
A strategy profile is a pure-strategy Nash equilibrium if and only if **exactly 2 firms enter and 1 firm stays out**. With 3 firms, the number of ways to choose which 2 firms enter is:
\[\binom{3}{2} = 3\]
**Answer: 3**
Question 364 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
In one of these pure NEs, all three players enter the market
TRUE
FALSE
Published solution
If all 3 firms enter the market (\(n = 3\)), each firm earns a net payoff of:
\[\frac{150}{3} - 62 = 50 - 62 = -12 < 0\]
Any firm could profitably deviate by staying out of the market to earn \(0 > -12\). Therefore, all three players entering is **not** a Nash equilibrium (**FALSE**).
**Answer: B (FALSE)**
A: **Incorrect:** When all 3 firms enter, each gets \(-12 < 0\), so any firm would deviate to staying out.
B: **Correct:** Every pure-strategy Nash equilibrium has exactly 2 entrants, never all 3.
Question 365 MCQ · 2.0 marks
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
There is a symmetric mixed strategy equilibrium where all three players enter with the same
probability (say p). Find the value of p
1/5
3/5
4/5
2/5
Published solution
**Step 1: Set up the indifference condition for the symmetric mixed-strategy Nash equilibrium.**
Suppose each of the 3 firms enters independently with probability \(p\). For a firm to mix between entering and staying out (which yields payoff \(0\)), its expected net payoff from entering must equal \(0\):
- With probability \((1 - p)^2\), neither of the other 2 firms enters (\(n = 1\), revenue \(= 150\)).
- With probability \(2p(1 - p)\), exactly 1 of the other 2 firms enters (\(n = 2\), revenue \(= 75\)).
- With probability \(p^2\), both of the other 2 firms enter (\(n = 3\), revenue \(= 50\)).
**Step 2: Equate expected revenue to the entry cost \(62\) and solve for \(p\).**
\[150(1 - p)^2 + 75 \cdot 2p(1 - p) + 50p^2 = 62\]
\[150(1 - 2p + p^2) + 150(p - p^2) + 50p^2 = 62\]
\[150 - 150p + 50p^2 = 62 \implies 50p^2 - 150p + 88 = 0 \implies 25p^2 - 75p + 44 = 0\]
Factoring \((5p - 4)(5p - 11) = 0\) gives \(p = \frac{4}{5}\) or \(p = \frac{11}{5}\). Since \(p \in [0, 1]\):
\[p = \frac{4}{5}\]
**Answer: C (4/5)**
A: **Incorrect:** \(p = 1/5\) is \(1 - 4/5\) (the probability of staying out).
B: **Incorrect:** Does not satisfy \(25p^2 - 75p + 44 = 0\).
C: **Correct:** Solving \(25p^2 - 75p + 44 = 0\) for \(p \in [0, 1]\) gives \(p = 4/5\).
D: **Incorrect:** Does not satisfy the indifference equation.
Question 366 NAT · 1.0 marks
A cable TV station wants to connect three new customers to its network. The connections to the
network are described in the following tree graph:
Calculate the distribution of the costs among the three players if all three decide to connect to the
network.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
The cost to be paid by player 1 will be ______________
Published solution
**Step 1: Apply the Shapley value (airport / tree cost-sharing rule) to the network tree.**
Under the Shapley value rule for a tree network, the cost of each edge (segment) is divided **equally among all players whose path to the Station uses that edge**:
- **Segment Station \(\to\) Player 1** (cost \(= 24\)): Used by all 3 players \(\{1, 2, 3\}\). Each pays \(\frac{24}{3} = 8\).
- **Segment Player 1 \(\to\) Junction** (cost \(= 24\)): Used by players \(\{2, 3\}\). Each of 2 and 3 pays \(\frac{24}{2} = 12\).
- **Segment Junction \(\to\) Player 2** (cost \(= 10\)): Used only by Player 2 (pays \(10\)).
- **Segment Junction \(\to\) Player 3** (cost \(= 12\)): Used only by Player 3 (pays \(12\)).
**Step 2: Sum the cost shares for Player 1.**
Player 1 only uses the first segment (Station \(\to\) Player 1), so Player 1 pays:
\[C_1 = \frac{24}{3} = 8\]
**Answer: 8**
Question 367 NAT · 1.0 marks
A cable TV station wants to connect three new customers to its network. The connections to the
network are described in the following tree graph:
Calculate the distribution of the costs among the three players if all three decide to connect to the
network.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
The cost to be paid by player 2 will be _________________
Published solution
**Step 1: Sum the edge cost shares for Player 2 along the path Station \(\to\) Player 1 \(\to\) Junction \(\to\) Player 2.**
From Q#366:
- Share of Station \(\to\) Player 1 segment: \(\frac{24}{3} = 8\)
- Share of Player 1 \(\to\) Junction segment: \(\frac{24}{2} = 12\)
- Share of Junction \(\to\) Player 2 segment: \(10\)
\[C_2 = 8 + 12 + 10 = 30\]
**Answer: 30**
Question 368 NAT · 1.0 marks
A cable TV station wants to connect three new customers to its network. The connections to the
network are described in the following tree graph:
Calculate the distribution of the costs among the three players if all three decide to connect to the
network.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
The cost to be paid by player 3 will be ______________
Published solution
**Step 1: Sum the edge cost shares for Player 3 along the path Station \(\to\) Player 1 \(\to\) Junction \(\to\) Player 3.**
From Q#366:
- Share of Station \(\to\) Player 1 segment: \(\frac{24}{3} = 8\)
- Share of Player 1 \(\to\) Junction segment: \(\frac{24}{2} = 12\)
- Share of Junction \(\to\) Player 3 segment: \(12\)
\[C_3 = 8 + 12 + 12 = 32\]
(Check: \(C_1 + C_2 + C_3 = 8 + 30 + 32 = 70 = 24 + 24 + 10 + 12\), the total cost of the tree.)
**Answer: 32**
Question 369 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Five bidders with private valuations uniformly distributed between 0 and 1 participate in a sealed
bid first price auction. Assuming that everyone is playing the symmetric equilibrium bidding
strategy answer the given sub-questions:
Optimal bid for a bidder with valuation 0.75 will be
0.7
0.6
0.5
0.75
Published solution
**Step 1: Recall the symmetric Bayes-Nash equilibrium bidding strategy in a first-price sealed-bid auction with \(N\) bidders and \(v_i \sim U[0, 1]\).**
\[b^*(v) = \left(\frac{N - 1}{N}\right) v\]
**Step 2: Substitute \(N = 5\) and \(v = 0.75\).**
\[b^*(0.75) = \frac{5 - 1}{5} \times 0.75 = \frac{4}{5} \times 0.75 = 0.8 \times 0.75 = 0.6\]
**Answer: B (0.6)**
A: **Incorrect:** Does not match \(\frac{4}{5} \times 0.75\).
B: **Correct:** With \(N = 5\) bidders, a bidder shades their valuation to \(\frac{4}{5} v = 0.8 \times 0.75 = 0.6\).
C: **Incorrect:** \(0.5\) would correspond to \(\frac{2}{3} \times 0.75\) (\(N = 3\) bidders).
D: **Incorrect:** Bidding one's true valuation \(0.75\) is optimal in a second-price auction, not a first-price auction.
Question 370 MCQ · 2.0 marks
Five bidders with private valuations uniformly distributed between 0 and 1 participate in a sealed
bid first price auction. Assuming that everyone is playing the symmetric equilibrium bidding
strategy answer the given sub-questions:
The expected revenue of the seller in this auction scenario will be
4/5
3/5
2/3
2/5
Published solution
**Step 1: Recall the seller's expected revenue in a first-price (or second-price, by Revenue Equivalence) auction with \(N\) i.i.d. \(U[0, 1]\) bidders.**
The expected revenue equals the expected value of the second-highest order statistic of \(N\) uniform draws on \([0, 1]\):
\[\mathbb{E}[R] = \frac{N - 1}{N + 1}\]
**Step 2: Substitute \(N = 5\).**
\[\mathbb{E}[R] = \frac{5 - 1}{5 + 1} = \frac{4}{6} = \frac{2}{3}\]
**Answer: C (2/3)**
A: **Incorrect:** \(4/5\) is the bidding multiplier \(\frac{N-1}{N}\), not the expected revenue.
B: **Incorrect:** \(3/5\) does not match \(\frac{N-1}{N+1}\).
C: **Correct:** Expected revenue is \(\frac{N - 1}{N + 1} = \frac{5 - 1}{5 + 1} = \frac{2}{3}\).
D: **Incorrect:** \(2/5\) underestimates the seller's expected revenue.
Question 371 NAT · 1.0 marks
Suppose a search engine has two ad slots that it can sell. Slot **a** has a clickthrough rate of 10 and
slot **b** has a clickthrough rate of 5. Three advertisers are interested in these slots. Advertiser **x**
values click at 3 per click, advertiser **y** values click at 2 per click, and advertiser **z** values click at 1
per click.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Total valuation of socially optimal allocation will be ____________
Published solution
**Step 1: Match the highest-valuation advertisers to the highest-clickthrough-rate slots.**
- Slot **a** (CTR \(= 10\)) is assigned to Advertiser **x** (value \(= 3\) per click) \(\implies 10 \times 3 = 30\).
- Slot **b** (CTR \(= 5\)) is assigned to Advertiser **y** (value \(= 2\) per click) \(\implies 5 \times 2 = 10\).
- Advertiser **z** (value \(= 1\) per click) receives no slot.
**Step 2: Sum the valuations.**
\[\text{Total Socially Optimal Valuation} = 30 + 10 = 40\]
**Answer: 40**
Question 372 NAT · 1.0 marks
Suppose a search engine has two ad slots that it can sell. Slot **a** has a clickthrough rate of 10 and
slot **b** has a clickthrough rate of 5. Three advertisers are interested in these slots. Advertiser **x**
values click at 3 per click, advertiser **y** values click at 2 per click, and advertiser **z** values click at 1
per click.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
VCG price for slot **a** will be _________
Published solution
**Step 1: Recall the VCG price formula for Advertiser \(x\) (who wins Slot \(a\)).**
The VCG price equals the **externality** that Advertiser \(x\) imposes on the other advertisers \(\{y, z\}\):
- **Without \(x\)**: Advertiser \(y\) moves up to Slot \(a\) (value \(10 \times 2 = 20\)) and Advertiser \(z\) gets Slot \(b\) (value \(5 \times 1 = 5\)). Total value to others \(= 20 + 5 = 25\).
- **With \(x\) present**: Advertiser \(y\) gets Slot \(b\) (value \(5 \times 2 = 10\)) and Advertiser \(z\) gets nothing (\(0\)). Total value to others \(= 10\).
**Step 2: Compute the VCG price for Slot \(a\).**
\[P_a^{\text{VCG}} = 25 - 10 = 15\]
**Answer: 15**
Question 373 NAT · 1.0 marks
Suppose a search engine has two ad slots that it can sell. Slot **a** has a clickthrough rate of 10 and
slot **b** has a clickthrough rate of 5. Three advertisers are interested in these slots. Advertiser **x**
values click at 3 per click, advertiser **y** values click at 2 per click, and advertiser **z** values click at 1
per click.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
VCG price for slot **b** will be _________
Published solution
**Step 1: Compute the externality that Advertiser \(y\) (who wins Slot \(b\)) imposes on the other advertisers \(\{x, z\}\).**
- **Without \(y\)**: Advertiser \(x\) still gets Slot \(a\) (value \(10 \times 3 = 30\)) and Advertiser \(z\) moves into Slot \(b\) (value \(5 \times 1 = 5\)). Total value to others \(= 30 + 5 = 35\).
- **With \(y\) present**: Advertiser \(x\) gets Slot \(a\) (value \(30\)) and Advertiser \(z\) gets nothing (\(0\)). Total value to others \(= 30\).
**Step 2: Compute the VCG price for Slot \(b\).**
\[P_b^{\text{VCG}} = 35 - 30 = 5\]
**Answer: 5**
Question 374 NAT · 1.0 marks
A man dies, leaving an estate worth 500 units. The deceased has two creditors; one’s claim is 400
units, and the other’s claim, 300 units. The division of the estate between them is carried out
according to the contested garment principle.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Creditor 1 with claim 400 units gets
Published solution
**Step 1: Apply the Contested Garment (Talmud) Principle.**
The estate is \(E = 500\), Creditor 1 claims \(c_1 = 400\), and Creditor 2 claims \(c_2 = 300\):
1. **Uncontested portion for Creditor 1**: Since Creditor 2 only claims \(300\), the remaining \(E - c_2 = 500 - 300 = 200\) units are uncontested by Creditor 2 and go directly to Creditor 1.
2. **Uncontested portion for Creditor 2**: Since Creditor 1 only claims \(400\), the remaining \(E - c_1 = 500 - 400 = 100\) units are uncontested by Creditor 1 and go directly to Creditor 2.
3. **Contested portion**: The remaining estate is \(500 - (200 + 100) = 200\) units, which both creditors claim. This contested amount is split **equally** (\(200 / 2 = 100\) units each).
**Step 2: Calculate Creditor 1's total award.**
\[\text{Creditor 1 gets } 200 + 100 = 300\]
**Answer: 300**
Question 375 NAT · 1.0 marks
A man dies, leaving an estate worth 500 units. The deceased has two creditors; one’s claim is 400
units, and the other’s claim, 300 units. The division of the estate between them is carried out
according to the contested garment principle.
Based on the above data, answer the given subquestions.
Creditor 2 with claim 300 units gets
Published solution
From Q#374, under the Contested Garment Principle:
- Creditor 2 receives their uncontested portion \(E - c_1 = 500 - 400 = 100\) units plus half of the contested \(200\) units (\(100\) units):
\[\text{Creditor 2 gets } 100 + 100 = 200\]
**Answer: 200**
Question 376 MCQ · 2.0 marks
Suppose 5 numbers are drawn independently from the uniform distribution on the interval [0, 1]
and then sorted from smallest to largest. The expected value of the number in second position on
the list is
5/6
2/3
1/2
1/3
Published solution
**Step 1: Recall the expected value of the \(k\)-th order statistic of \(n\) i.i.d. \(U[0, 1]\) random variables.**
When \(n\) independent draws from \(U[0, 1]\) are sorted from smallest to largest \(X_{(1)} < X_{(2)} < \dots < X_{(n)}\), they partition \([0, 1]\) into \(n + 1\) intervals of equal expected length \(\frac{1}{n + 1}\), so:
\[\mathbb{E}[X_{(k)}] = \frac{k}{n + 1}\]
**Step 2: Substitute \(n = 5\) and \(k = 2\).**
\[\mathbb{E}[X_{(2)}] = \frac{2}{5 + 1} = \frac{2}{6} = \frac{1}{3}\]
**Answer: D (1/3)**
A: **Incorrect:** \(5/6\) is the expected value of the 5th (largest) order statistic.
B: **Incorrect:** \(2/3 = 4/6\) is the expected value of the 4th order statistic.
C: **Incorrect:** \(1/2 = 3/6\) is the expected value of the 3rd (median) order statistic.
D: **Correct:** For \(n = 5\) and \(k = 2\), \(\mathbb{E}[X_{(2)}] = \frac{2}{5 + 1} = \frac{1}{3}\).
Question 377 MCQ · 1.0 marks
In weighted majority game [7; 1, 4, 3, 5]
Player 1 is null player
Player 2 is null player
Player 3 is null player
Player 4 is null player
Published solution
**Step 1: Recall the definition of a null (dummy) player in a weighted majority game \([q; w_1, w_2, w_3, w_4]\).**
A player \(i\) is a **null player** if they are never pivotal—that is, there is no coalition \(S \subseteq N \setminus \{i\}\) such that \(w(S) < q\) and \(w(S) + w_i \ge q\).
**Step 2: Check Player 1 (weight \(w_1 = 1\)) in \([7; 1, 4, 3, 5]\).**
For Player 1 (with weight 1) to be pivotal to a coalition \(S \subseteq \{2, 3, 4\}\), the weights in \(S\) would have to sum to **exactly 6** (so that \(w(S) = 6 < 7\) and \(w(S) + 1 = 7 \ge 7\)).
Let us list all possible subset sums of \(\{4, 3, 5\}\):
- Empty set: \(0\)
- Singletons: \(3, 4, 5\)
- Pairs: \(3 + 4 = 7\), \(3 + 5 = 8\), \(4 + 5 = 9\)
- All three: \(3 + 4 + 5 = 12\)
Because **no subset of \(\{4, 3, 5\}\) sums to 6**, Player 1 can never turn a losing coalition into a winning coalition! Meanwhile, Players 2, 3, and 4 are all pivotal (e.g., in \(\{2, 3\}\) with weight \(4 + 3 = 7\) and \(\{3, 4\}\) with weight \(3 + 5 = 8\)). Thus, **Player 1 is a null player**.
**Answer: A (Player 1 is null player)**
A: **Correct:** Since no subset of \(\{4, 3, 5\}\) sums to 6, Player 1 (weight 1) is never pivotal and is a null player.
B: **Incorrect:** Player 2 (weight 4) is pivotal when joining Player 3 (weight 3) to reach quota 7.
C: **Incorrect:** Player 3 (weight 3) is pivotal when joining Player 2 (weight 4) to reach quota 7.
D: **Incorrect:** Player 4 (weight 5) is pivotal when joining Player 2 (weight 4) or Player 3 (weight 3).
Question 378 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Consider following two statements:
1. Crowd can be wrong even if everyone in the crowd is rational and everyone takes the same
action.
2. Aggregate behaviour of many people with limited information can sometimes produce very
accurate results.
Which statement(s) is (are) true?
Only 1
Only 2
Both 1 & 2
None
Published solution
Let us evaluate both statements from the theory of social learning and information cascades:
1. **Statement 1 is true**: In an **information cascade**, rational individuals sequentially observing others' actions may rationally ignore their own private signals and herd on the same action—even when the initial agents drew unrepresentative signals, causing the **entire rational crowd to be wrong**.
2. **Statement 2 is true**: When individuals act independently on their private information without herding (the **Wisdom of Crowds** / Condorcet Jury Theorem), aggregating the behavior or estimates of many people with limited partial information can produce remarkably accurate results.
**Answer: C (Both 1 & 2)**
A: **Incorrect:** Statement 2 (Wisdom of Crowds) is also true.
B: **Incorrect:** Statement 1 (wrong herd in an information cascade) is also true.
C: **Correct:** Both rational herding into a wrong cascade (1) and the wisdom of crowds (2) are true.
D: **Incorrect:** Both statements are true.
Question 379 MCQ · 1.0 marks
Choose the correct alternative
A stable matching system is necessarily a system under which everyone is
satisfied.
A matching system is stable when an unmatched pair may find it beneficial to
deviate from the matching and form their own match.
Both A stable matching system is necessarily a system under which everyone
is satisfied & A matching system is stable when an unmatched pair may find it beneficial to deviate
from the matching and form their own match.
None
Published solution
Let us check both statements about **stable matching**:
1. *A stable matching system is necessarily a system under which everyone is satisfied*: **False**—stability does not mean everyone gets their first-choice partner; some participants may be matched with a lower-ranked partner or remain unmatched if no one prefers them.
2. *A matching system is stable when an unmatched pair may find it beneficial to deviate from the matching and form their own match*: **False**—an unmatched pair that prefers each other over their current assignments is a **blocking pair**, which makes the matching **unstable**, not stable! (A matching is stable when **no** such blocking pair exists.)
Therefore, **None** of the statements is correct.
**Answer: D (None)**
A: **Incorrect:** Stable matchings do not guarantee that every participant gets their top choice.
B: **Incorrect:** This defines an *unstable* matching (existence of a blocking pair), not a stable one.
C: **Incorrect:** Both statements are false.
D: **Correct:** Neither statement correctly defines a stable matching.